Originally Posted by
Stavros
The US is a divided society, and because it has been so for more than a hundred years, the divisions run deep -the question is whether or not the US, if it cannot be wholly united, can be healed of its poisonous wounds. The best you can hope for from Biden and Harris is a return to competent government, and a more caring attitude to the environment. For complex reasons the questions that have yet to be asked, let alone answered on the future of work and jobs, and because of Covid-19 the future of public health and indeed, the City, must shape the future, but can either Biden or Harris offer some idea of what the future will look like if they win the Presidency and Congress?
It seems to me that four more years of chaos and arrogance in the Presidency, and legislative backwardness in Congress will make a bad situation worse. And yet, the US has shown over the last 100 years that it can survive the worst that politics and economics produces; that it is flexible enough to incorporate immigrants and marginal social groups into the main body of society without diminishing the values and aspirations of the Constitution that a Revolution created.
The difference with the UK could not be more stark -for I feel that the UK is not just divided, but broken. Brexit has not united the UK behind a vision of independence from Europe, capable of maintaining its status as one of the richest countries in the world. It has broken the very idea of Union, with Northern Ireland gradually moving towards the realization that its future lies in a re-unification with the Irish Republic, and with independence for Scotland back on the agenda. Independence for Wales has never been as vigorous or widespread as the movement in Scotland, but what the mis-management of Covid-19 has done is alienate the Welsh from the UK Government. Indeed, even in England, there is a damaging rift between the Government in London and areas of the North -Liverpool, Manchester, Leeds and Newcastle- that feel ignored and left out of critical decision making, the irony being that the 'Red Wall' constituencies in these areas voted for Boris Johnson.
Johnson is better educated than his American counterpart, but clearly education alone does not explain a colossal sense of self-admiration undermined by so sloppy an approach to management. Boris Johnson appears to find the burdens of responsibilty too great to bear, and is in addition so lazy a worker he leaves decision making to other people which is why he is frequently unable to answer questions about his own policy. It is another irony, that Johnson sees himself as a latter-day Churchill rescuing the UK from the European Union, but only embraced this cause to get David Cameron's job, for personal reasons derived from their shared experiences of Eton and Oxford where Johnson was a year or two ahead of Cameron. The result is that Johnson has never truly believed in Brexit, but is convinced he can make it work.
Churchill, judged over the whole of his political career, was a flop -it was the Second World War that revived his career and by which he is best remembered -and for the most part, he spoke for Britain and was admired as a wartime leader. Johnson, also a flop in his earlier career, as London Mayor, is leading the UK to oblivion not victory, his so-called independence from the EU emerging with so many compromises -on Northern Ireland, on fishing, on intelligence and security, on banking and state aid- we might wonder why we are leaving at all, other than to note we leave on poor terms, the details of which we still don't know, barely months before the formal separation begins.
The US is indeed at a critical moment, but I am not sure the South will break away, that four more years means the independence of Callifornia, though it would be four more years of division and desperation. If it were a matter of bets, I would bet on the US not the UK, but I am biased. Because I live here, and can see what damage the Conservatives have done, and see no prospect of a broken Britain being repaired.