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Stavros
04-13-2012, 04:56 PM
Pan-Am 103 exploded over the town of Lockerbie in Scotland just after 7pm on Dec 21 1988; all 259 on board were killed, plus an additional eleven on the ground where the main fuselage crashed. It was the worst terrorist atrocity in British history.

A Libyan, Abdelbasit al-Megrahi is the only person to have been found guilty of the bombing. He has always insisted that he is innocent, and has now written down his account of the events, together with John Ashton, who did much of the research for al-Megrahi’s legal team between 2006 and 2009. The result is a book called You Are My Jury.

The case presented against al-Megrahi and his co-accused Lamin Fhima at their trial under Scottish law in The Hague in 2000, argued that, acting together, al-Megrahi and Fhima used their connections at Luqa Airport in Malta to place an unaccompanied suitcase on a flight to Frankfurt to join a feeder Pan-Am flight to London Heathrow where the suitcase was placed on Pan-Am 103; that the bomb had been activated by a timer placed in a Toshiba radio-cassette player; and that it had been in a suitcase containing clothes which were traced through the Id and serial numbers on the labels to Mary’s House in Sliema, a town in Malta. It was argued that the bomb was activated by MST-13 timers made by the firm Mebo in Zurich and supplied to the Libyan Intelligence Services (JSO), and that both al-Megrahi and Fhima were former officials of the Libyan State Airline where they had worked as undercover agents for the JSO. The Court presented evidence that all but two of the MST-13 timers delivered to the JSO had been recovered from a raid on a JSO safe house in Senegal in February 1988, and that one of the two missing timers from the batch had been used in an explosion which destroyed flight UTA 772 en route from Congo-Brazzaville to Paris via Ndjamena in 1989 –allegedly a revenge attack by Libya on France for its support for rebels fighting Libya’s attempts to seize part of Chad. The Court heard evidence from Tony Gauci, the son of the owner of Mary’s House, who in 1991 identified al-Megrahi as the man who had bought the clothes from Mary’s House in early December 1988 which were found in the wreckage in Lockerbie- a fragment of the circuit board from a Toshiba radio-cassette player was found embedded in one of the clothes that had been purchased in the shop.

Al-Megrahi protests that he has never been a JSO agent, and that he had left Libyan State Airlines to become a businessman. He admits that he had a false passport which he had obtained through his connections with the government, for whom he made money purchasing goods abroad to break the sanctions that had been imposed on Libya. He claims that he wanted to travel abroad without letting his wife know; she assumed when he was abroad that he was staying with friends. Since the publication of the book he has also claimed he had a mistress in Malta. Al-Megrahi argues that in spite of using a false passport on his trip to Malta in early December 1988, he stayed at the Holiday Inn in Sliema where the staff knew him well under his real name –he says that had he been a JSO agent on a mission he could have travelled incognito to Malta, have stayed in a JSO safe-house and thus there would have been no record of his ever entering Malta at all.

Critics will say –well yes, he would deny it all. The bomb went off at 7pm presumably or possibly because the person who set the timer was outside the UK and forgot or did not realise the UK is one hour behind Europe -7pm in the UK would have been 8pm in Europe –at 8pm UK time Pan-Am 103 would have been flying west of Iceland over the North Atlantic Ocean. Al-Megrahi need not have covered his tracks because none of the team expected any evidence to survive the explosion. As for Libya, the bombing is assumed to be revenge for the US air strikes on Libya in 1986 and the sanctions imposed on the country.

In an extremely detailed examination of the evidence presented at trial, and of the report of the Scottish Criminal Cases Review Commission which examined the evidence and a 400-page submission from al-Megrahi’s legal team between 2003-2007, John Ashton trashes the evidence and the means by which it was gathered.

He argues the original forensic team were over-worked and incompetent in their handling of thousands of pieces of evidence; he presents sufficient evidence to cast doubt on the claim that the MST-13 timers used to activate the bomb were part of the same batch delivered to the JSO; he casts doubts on the identity of the Toshiba radio-cassette player in which the bomb was placed; and is particularly harsh on the evidence of Tony Gauci whose original statement identified a man buying clothes in Mary’s House who was taller, darker and older than al-Megrahi was in 1988. That Lamin Fhima was found not guilty in a case where it was argued they acted together never made sense, while compelling evidence that the bombing was organised by the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine –General Command [PFLP-GC] is also presented.

In October 1988, West German intelligence raided a PFLP-GC cell in Frankfurt where they found Toshiba radio-cassette players primed to explode, using Mebo MST-13 timers which Mebo had supplied to the Stasi in East Germany. It was well known at the time that East Germany and the Communist bloc countries were safe havens for a variety of left-wing terrorist groups who had the ultimate backing of the USSR. All but one of the timers and all but one of the Toshiba players were recovered in the raid –and one member of the cell evaded arrest and was never captured.
Moreover, during the trial, Marwan Khreesat, a bomb-maker of the PFLP-GC who had been part of the Frankfurt cell declared of the PFLP-GC’s leader Ahmad Jibril and the Frankfurt operation: “It was made very clear to us by Ahmad Jibril that he wanted to blow up an aeroplane. This was the whole purpose of our being there……”.

In addition to this, the CIA knew that days after the [I]USS Vincennes had shot down Iranian Airbus 655 in July1988 (290 dead) the Iranian intelligence services, the Pasadaran met with a man from the PFLP-GC identified as Hafez Dalkamoni -the leader of the cell arrested in the Frankfurt raid. According to Robert Baer in his book See No Evil, the instructions from Iran were clear: “Blow up an American airplane –in the air to kill as many people as possible.”

The US has always insisted that the attack on Iran Air 655 was a tragic accident, even though an aircraft carrier with state-of-the-art radar failed to distinguish the difference between a passenger aircraft that was ascending after take-off from Bandar Abbas airport, and the jet fighter the US assumed was homing in the Vincennes. That Lockerbie was a revenge attack seems to me to the most obvious explanation for the cause of the bombing; that it was carried out by the PFLP-GC on behalf of Iran was widely believed at the time to be the explanation, and it was only later that Libya entered the frame.

The first question then, is –was the destruction of the Iranian Airbus an accident, or was it deliberate? For it to have been deliberate there would have to have been a motive. I have only ever come across one motive for the bombing, provided by the maverick writer on intelligence who died in 2010 –Christopher Story. Story was editor and wrote most of a bulletin called Arab-Asian Affairs. In an issue of Arab-Asian Affairs –I forget the year but in the early 1990s- he claimed that the Iranian airbus was deliberately targeted because amongst its passengers were some of the closest advisers to the Ayatollah Khomeini who at the time were resisting appeals from the Iranian military for an end to the war with Iraq. With those close advisers gone, Khomeini was isolated in the ‘Supreme Council’, and a few weeks after the airbus was destroyed, Iran declared a ceasefire with Iraq. Story never offered any hard evidence for this claim, and caution is required of a man who published a book on the ‘Golitsyn thesis’ claiming that the Sino-Soviet Split of 1960 was an elaborate hoax designed to disguise the Communists long-term plan to take over the world.

The second question is, why Libya? The first answer to this, I think, was driven by the difficulty of attacking Iran directly when it was clear from Lockerbie that Iran was prepared to retaliate against US targets -this is also a reason why the US doesn't want to be involved in a bombing against Iran''s nuclear facilities and is nervous about Israel's intentions.

The second driver was the opportunity Lockerbie gave to intensify the isolation of Libya, which had been a pain in the backside ever since Qadhafi began nationalising the oil industry in 1971. Qadhafi’s form as the paymaster and quartermaster of various terrorist groups in the 1970s and 1980s, from the IRA to various Palestinian groups, as well as allegations of Libyan involvement in bombings against US targets in Europe (for example the La Belle discotheque in West Berlin) –all of this meant that Libya was ripe for punishment. Qadhafi himself eventually manipulated the Lockerbie atrocity as a means of regaining recognition from the West, in effect buying diplomatic recognition through compensation payments to Lockerbie victims, and business deals (famously with BP), and agreeing to disband a ‘weapons of mass destruction’ programme.

The truth about Lockerbie is as ugly and contorted as these nasty political acts are; behind it are the faces of men with no respect for human life; and their victims, and the families and friends of those victims. Lockerbie did not advance the cause of peace or even war by one step, anymore than the destruction of Iranian Airbus 655, or the whole of the Iran-Iraq war which killed a million and bankrupted two once oil-rich states. The Scottish legal system, once presumed to be more exacting in its demands than the English, has been exposed as incompetent and open to political manipulation, with the Court allowing un-identified Americans, believed to be CIA agents to sit with and advise the prosecution team during the trial. The Judges had no knowledge or expertise in aviation technology and allowed photo-identification procedures which would have been thrown out of any other court, to stand.

Even today as the so-called debate on Iran’s nuclear programme gets heated, nobody knows if Iran will be attacked, and what the consequences might be. A calm mind suggests that there are alternative ways of proceeding, killing people is not one of them.

Prospero
04-13-2012, 05:03 PM
It was Libya. Three years ago, Gaddafy's son was boasting to a contact of mine about their responsibilty for this and that el-Megrahi was a scapegoat.

Stavros
04-15-2012, 01:37 PM
And the evidence?

Prospero
04-15-2012, 01:56 PM
I have no evidence. Simply told about this by a contact from Jordan who met Saif al-Islam about five years ago to discuss a "project" and to whom Saif boasted that they - the Government of Libya - had been responsible for Lockerbie.

Stavros
04-15-2012, 03:39 PM
I have no answer to that, as it is not evidence, and Saif al-Islam is not a credible source.

The problem here is that on one level both Iran and Libya had a motive -but that Iran's motive and choice of target contains more logic: the US destroyed a passenger aircraft, so Iran destroyed a US aircraft. The Pasadaran met with the PFLP-GC days after the Airbus was destroyed in July 88 and it was in October that the German BKA raided the PPFLP-GC cell in Frankfurt where they found the materials that Marwan Khreesat admitted were primed to blow up a passenger aircraft. Iran had the motive and the means. The timers were supplied by the Stasi whose links to the PFLP-GC and other groups has been known about for some time.

If Libya had a motive, it was a response to the sanctions that had been accumulating since the first block on US passport holders visiting Libya in 1981, presumably to demonstrate to the US that Libya had not been beaten and was still a 'force to be reckoned with'. Up to that point its modus vivendi had been the sponsorship of various terrorist outfits, but there is still speculation about Libya's role in the destruction of the La Belle discotheque in Berlin. The whole of the truth about the murder of PC Yvonne Fletcher in London in 1984 also has yet to be explained. And, in 1989 Libya used the Mebo timer it did have to blow up UTA 772.

If Libya was involved, why is there so little concrete evidence? One of the key points of Ashton's research is that on all of the crucial pieces of evidence, the direct link to Libya is missing. The prima facie evidence does, however link the bombing to the PFLP-GC: 1) the direct link to Iran with the motive; 2) the Toshiba cassette-players primed to explode using Mebo timers; 3) the fact that a timer and cassette-player and a member of the cell went missing in Frankfurt; 4) the demonstration that baggage-handlers at Frankkurt airport were sloppy in their work.

The balance of evidence points to Iran; but if you can come up with evidence that shows Libyan involvement, I won't protest: finding out the truth is what is important.

Prospero
04-15-2012, 05:51 PM
Stavros. As a credible source I agree - but it is equally odd that he should boast to a business contact of a crime. But then the ego of these people is unfathomable - so its veracity has to questionable.

Dino Velvet
04-15-2012, 08:03 PM
Very interesting discussion. Carry on, fellas. As far as our media(who Stavros knows I don't trust) we've been sold it was Libya, Ghaddafi, and al-Megrahi. At this stage, I'm willing to listen to anything.

Prospero
04-16-2012, 07:51 AM
I have nothing new to add I'm afraid. I was supposed to meet the Gaddafis myself back then. It didn't happen and won't happen now.

Stavros
04-17-2012, 03:36 AM
Al-Megrahi has made his statement in the book, and according to news reports is close to death, although we have read that before. In the Libyan case, one assumes that the Former Foreign Minister, Moussa Koussa who arrived in the UK mid-way through the rebellion and then hot-footed it out to the Gulf would know, but he has anyway categorically denied Libyan involvement. The head of the intelligence sevice, Abdullah al-Senussi has been detained in Mauritania and may be extradited to Libya but is also wanted in France for the UTA bombing. Unless these people are properly challenged, we can't get much forward movement - and in Libya where the elites were relatively small, one would assume that IF Libya was involved, someone somewhere would know and have the evidence. With the PFLP-GC it is more complex, as the group is based partly in Syria and partly in Lebanon, with all that implies as to its future. Jibril has also denied involvement, but given his personal history, the denial is worthless.

Ben
04-17-2012, 03:54 AM
Colonel Gaddafi 'ordered Lockerbie bombing'

Libya's former justice minister has told a Swedish newspaper that Colonel Gaddafi personally ordered the Lockerbie bombing.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-south-scotland-12552587

However, they do point out in the YT clip that he didn't provide any proof.

Report: Gadhafi Ordered Pan-Am Lockerbie Bombing - YouTube (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZuV3kiIFL2Q)

Stavros
04-17-2012, 12:23 PM
So, the former Justice Minister says Libya did it; the former Foreign Minister says Libya didn't do it. If two former Ministers who probably ought to know, cannot agree it suggests either that a) neither of them knows the truth; b) one of them is lying; or most likely c) they are emerging from positions of power under Qadhafi and hedging their bets on retaining their wealth and power and squabbling amongst each other to prove they were never really 'Qadhafi's boys' anyway. Justice Minister sounds like an Oxymoron in the context of Qadhafi's Libya.

Smoking gun? More like hot air.