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02-25-2016 #11
- Join Date
- Nov 2007
- Posts
- 4,841
Re: For the Brits: When will BREXIT referendum happen ?
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02-26-2016 #12
Re: For the Brits: When will BREXIT referendum happen ?
boris has been in the frame for years. Him becoming an MP was on track, Cameron knows this, and most likely wouldn't be bothered.
There's nobody else who is capable....Osborne, no. May, for me, no.
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02-26-2016 #13
Re: For the Brits: When will BREXIT referendum happen ?
and when/if we leave, i hope we won't see less escorts in central london now...that's meant seriously, not facetiously, since it would be more difficult for any french, german, dutch, polish, swedish, or wherever ts to work.
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02-26-2016 #14
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02-27-2016 #15
Re: For the Brits: When will BREXIT referendum happen ?
The Brexit campaign will focus on fear - just like Trump is doing. It distorts the facts on immigration and international rules and laws to paint a picture that Britain will be great again - just like Trump. It presents no evidence of how this greatness can be achieved - just like Trump. But that doesn't matter - we must learn that it is "great" to hate, it is "great" to build walls, it is "great" to turn our backs on the poor, it is great" to dismiss any thought of global problems, it is "great" to be an asshole - just like Trump.
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03-18-2016 #16
Re: For the Brits: When will BREXIT referendum happen ?
Vote to leave Do not give into fear!
Chloe x
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03-22-2016 #17
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04-11-2016 #18
Re: For the Brits: When will BREXIT referendum happen ?
Looks like you guys aren't going anywhere
Latest odds have REMAIN vote winning by almost a 72% probability.
2/5
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04-12-2016 #19
- Join Date
- Jul 2008
- Posts
- 13,553
Re: For the Brits: When will BREXIT referendum happen ?
At this time I would suggest you exercise caution. It is true that the Remain vote held up over the past year, and has yet to be taken over by the Leave, based on a poll of polls, but the latest of these from 4 April shows a narrowing of the gap to within 1 or 2 percentage points. Poll trackers show however, that while the Remain vote has always been ahead, the Don't' Know vote is large enough to change the balance, as indicated in the polls linked to this post.
http://whatukthinks.org/eu/questions...leave-the-eu/#
http://whatukthinks.org/eu/opinion-polls/poll-of-polls/
There are two rogue factors which may be crucial on the day: events, and the turn-out. Events may work for or against the case to Remain, but I would suggest that, for example, the complications arising out of the Panama Papers may have undermined public confidence in David Cameron and by extension his support for the Remain cause, as may also be the case with the publication of tax returns confirming a popular view that our leading politicians are living in a different world t most people. Other events, probably related to refugees and migrant workers on the continent, acts of terror, or some unknown event that the EU cannot manage, may also undermine the Remain cause. But the greatest impact may be on voter turn-out, with people feeling unable or unwilling to vote Remain, or believing that Remain is strong enough to win and therefore people may stay at home. Because it is an unusual vote I think turn-put will be higher than in a General Election, but with undecided voters holding the balance of the result I think it is still too close to call.
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04-12-2016 #20
Re: For the Brits: When will BREXIT referendum happen ?
If it's "too close to call" why are the odds for Leave still so long?
Ladbrokes isn't budging from their price and seem perfectly content taking on all the Leave wagers. They must not put too much credence in the polling data
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