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Thread: Coronavirus
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03-21-2020 #31
- Join Date
- Dec 2017
- Location
- Baghdad by the Bay
- Posts
- 187
Re: Coronavirus
According to John Hopkins University's tracker site, there is a 4.29% mortality rate (total deaths divided by total confirmed cases). Something like 1 out of 25 people is extraordinarily high --- and far more fatal than common influenza!
Of course, given the worldwide shortage of test kits, the number of infections it likely much higher. On the other hand, through, JHU's data necessarily relies countries accurately (i.e., not under) reporting the number of deaths. I am highly suspicious that the data from China and Iran under reports fatal cases. Also, for example, JHU's data does not even include North Korea, where South Korean and western defense analysts have seen clear signs of a massively deadly COVID-19 outbreak.
All of which is to say, i simply shocked by how many messages I'm getting on Grindr right now looking for hookups. I think it is absolutely insane that people are still hooking up with randoms!
2 out of 2 members liked this post.Last edited by Lorca81; 03-21-2020 at 08:40 PM.
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03-22-2020 #32
- Join Date
- Aug 2015
- Posts
- 13
Re: Coronavirus
This coronavirus is deadly serious. Although those teens and twenties think they can get the virus in a bar or social event and suffer no ill effects, don't forget that when you go home you could easily pass it on to your parents without realising it and for them it could be very very serious. Please, please keep away from crowded places until advised it is safe. Could you live with the thought you had accidentally infected friends and family. Not far from where I live someone who didn't know they were infected went to church last weekend and infected 24 people. Like I say, this coronavirus is very very dangerous.
3 out of 3 members liked this post.
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03-22-2020 #33
Re: Coronavirus
Ya it's hitting the fan now!
2 million with no jobs in Canada & 20 million in the USA & climbing!
There's no way the governments are going to implement their programs in time to get people money for April's rent or even May's rent I'd say..
Especially when people at that level start getting sick too.. It's going to be a shit show of epic diarrhea proportions!
Here we don't have enough tests, they are not testing everyone with symptoms and they are not tracing contacts..
The USA & Canada are both heading for Italy type conditions!
The government will NEVER tell us that the supply chains are going to fail.. or that the banks will close..
2 out of 2 members liked this post.
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03-22-2020 #34
- Join Date
- Apr 2010
- Posts
- 3,211
Re: Coronavirus
The death rate for common influenza is about 0.1%, so even on the lower range estimates of a 1% mortality rate COVID-19 is 10 times more deadly. It's also almost twice as contagious as common flu - it's estimated that infected person infects 2-2.5 people compared to 1.3 for regular flu. https://www.abc.net.au/news/health/2...o-flu/12073696
2 out of 2 members liked this post.
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03-22-2020 #35
- Join Date
- May 2017
- Posts
- 38
Re: Coronavirus
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03-22-2020 #36
Re: Coronavirus
Yeah, pretty much that average seems to be the most accurate when you exclude the global average and just look up your local average according to the JH website. It’s also what Dr. Anthony Fauci hinted it could be after ‘all’ the numbers were in. We all do what we have to do and play it day by day.
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03-22-2020 #37
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03-22-2020 #38
Re: Coronavirus
Why social distancing is a good thing:
5 out of 5 members liked this post."We can't seem to cure them of the idea that our everyday life is only an illusion, behind which lies the reality of dreams."--Old Missionary, Fitzcarraldo
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03-22-2020 #39
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- Jul 2009
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- 1,614
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03-22-2020 #40
- Join Date
- Apr 2010
- Posts
- 3,211
Re: Coronavirus
That's unlikely to happen because every government knows it will be toast if it allows essential services to break down. Even an idiot like Trump finally worked out that it would be in his own interest to take this seriously.
Maintaining the supply of essentials should be feasible, as governments have emergency powers they can use to ensure this. We are going to have an excess of able-bodied people sitting at home, not a shortage. The shortages we've seen recently are due to a surge in panic buying - supply chains just take a while to catch up.
Keeping banks open is straightforward, because the central bank can supply them with unlimited amounts of money. Lehman Brothers only failed in 2008 because they chose to let it fail, and it was not a deposit-taking bank anyway.