HIV statistics and do people actually understand them.

[Ts RedVeX]

I am happy to move on to more complex calculations taking into account more specific data. I just do not get what would be the point of that if people won't understand it anyway. Moreover, if a simple calculation shows that the likelihood of data found on-line being just some sort of homophobic propaganda suggesting that gay men are the only HIV carriers in the world is extremely high, then why bother even looking at the data? Never mind wasting time on analysing it and presenting in an way understandable by an average John Doe.

If you want a challenge, I can give you some probability tasks to solve as well. I cannot see the point, however, in making simple things like like 0.0027/0.0082 look complex because of factors we have no stats about anyway!

[trish]

I cannot see the point, however, in making simple things like like 0.0027/0.0082 look complex because of factors we have no stats about anyway!

The point isn't that 0.0027/0.0082 is too simple; the point is that it is meaningless. It certainly doesn't mean what you claim it does.

[Ts RedVeX]

Why not?

[trish]

See post #32

[Jericho]

Bollox to all this for a laugh. I'm not getting my slide rule out before I fuck someone.
I'd rather just use a condom!

[trish]

Bollox to all this for a laugh. I'm not getting my slide rule out before I fuck someone.
I'd rather just use a condom!

Heyy, I wouldn't object to you getting out your 'slide rule.' I'd love to unroll the condom down over it myself, before you start sliding?

[JerzeyBtm]

I think general based HIV contraction statistics can be thrown out the window when determining your risk in the sex industry (politely put... ie prostitution). You could take 100 random people and figure out a .001% chance of death by falling off a bridge but I am sure the statistics are quite different looking at 100 iron workers. Any way... If a study shows there's a 1 in 10,000 chance that most certainly doesn't mean that by sexual experience 10,000 you will be exposed. I'm willing to bet that most people who have contracted HIV have had wayyyyyyyyy less partners and experiences. Heck...one encounter can leave you exposed. Whether you are a customer seeing an Escort OR an Escort seeing a customer who has seen other Escorts the risk is GREAT. So use protection and your common sense!

[Ts RedVeX]

post #32 is irrelevant since R^G=W where W is the set of all possible events so in this particular case it can be left out

[trish]

Now you're just being silly. The conjunction two proper events cannot be the entire universe; or if you prefer think in terms of sets, the intersection of two proper subsets of W cannot be equal W.

[Ts RedVeX]

Just read the table. we are not considering sex other than receptive and other than with a gay man. The only difference is that in one case he has HIV and the other is he is just a random guy who might have HIV